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Cleveland-Cliffs Posts Q4 Miss, Profitability Likely Bottomed In The Quarter

Benzinga·02/09/2026 15:42:46
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Although Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (NYSE:CLF) announced a higher adjusted EBITDA loss than was estimated, the fourth quarter is likely to be "a trough in quarterly profitability," according to Goldman Sachs.

The Cleveland-Cliffs Analyst: Analyst Mike Harris reiterated a Buy rating and a $15 price target.

The Cleveland-Cliffs Thesis: The company reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $21 million, worse than the consensus estimate of $17 million, with revenues of $4.3 billion, missing expectations of $4.6 billion, Harris said in the note.

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Cleveland-Cliffs reported disappointing revenues and earnings due to lower volumes and prices, he added.

The analyst stated that management's 2026 guidance reflected:

  • Steel shipment volumes of around 16.5-17 million net tons, representing around 2%-5% growth
  • Steel unit cost reductions of around $10 per net ton versus 2025
  • Capex of about $700 million versus $561 million in 2025
  • SG&A of around $575 million versus $543 million in 2025

"We would note that the company expects 4Q25 to be a trough in quarterly profitability given an improved 2026 macro backdrop," he further wrote.

CLF Price Action: Shares of Cleveland-Cliffs had declined by 19.48% to $11.86 at the time of publication on Monday.

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