Prediction Markets

Monitor and predict on market shifts, within a fully regulated environment
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Crypto Hourlies & Fed Events
New Prediction Markets
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Crypto Hourlies & Fed Events
Turn your market insights into real trading opportunities

Turn your market insights into real trading opportunities

Prediction Markets are an environment focused on real-world probabilities, where you trade Event Contracts. This structure allows you to transform your macroeconomic analysis and worldview into direct market positions. Whether you are tracking Economic Indicators, US interest rate decisions, or cryptoasset volatility, you now have a transparent and regulated environment to validate your theses on the outcome of global future scenarios.

The Partnership

Kalshi is the first CFTC regulated exchange with prediction markets — giving traders access to a unique product that allows for precise risk management around intraday market movements. This partnership furthers Webull’s commitment to providing access to all areas of the capital markets, with innovative and advanced trading tools.
US Index Hourly Contracts
Monitor and anticipate the movement of major US market indices (S&P 500 and NASDAQ) every hour*.
With Hourly Contracts, investors gain the flexibility to fine-tune ultra-short-term analyses on the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, maintaining full control over operational risk.
US Index Hourly Contracts
Crypto Hourly Contracts
An agile way to track Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) movements every hour.
Crypto Hourly Contracts deliver the flexibility needed to manage risk and take advantage of short-term volatility in the world's leading cryptocurrencies.
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Crypto Hourly Contracts
Fed Events
Federal Reserve (Fed) meetings dictate the direction of US interest rates and directly impact the dollar, global equities, and the crypto market.
Through Fed event contracts, you can monitor market sentiment and express views on rate cuts, hikes, or pauses for upcoming meetings and annual projections.
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Fed Events
How do Prediction Markets work in practice?
1. Access the Markets: In the Webull app, navigate to the markets tab and select Event Contracts (Prediction Markets). 2. Evaluate Probabilities: Contract prices directly reflect the market's estimated odds. For example: if a "Yes" contract for an event costs $0.25, it means the market estimates a 25% probability of that scenario occurring. 3. Choose Your Position: Based on your economic analysis, select "Yes" or "No" for the event's outcome, without the complexity of traditional options or derivatives. 4. Understand Settlement: If your projection is confirmed, you receive a fixed payout of $1.00 per contract (minus fees). If the scenario does not pan out, you lose the amount invested to buy the contract.
How do Prediction Markets work in practice?
Advanced Charts and Tools for Event Contracts
Advanced Charts & Tools: Access over 60 indicators, advanced tools, and highly customizable charts to never miss the market timing. Advanced Analysis: Real-time Order Book insights applied directly to prediction markets.
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Explore Kalshi Markets

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Why Trade Prediction Markets on Webull

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Cost-Efficient

Reduced fees of just $0.02 per contract traded, maximizing your portfolio's capital efficiency.
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Maximum Accessibility

Start positions for less than $1.00. You only need enough balance to cover the contract's screen price and transaction fees.
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Advanced Tools & Data

Over 60 technical indicators, highly customizable charts, and real-time Order Book insights applied directly to event markets.
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Local Support

integrated in-app support channels and a help center 100% in Portuguese.
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Webull Kalshi

Diversify Your Investment Portfolio

Beyond Event Trading, Webull offers a wide array of investment products, including Stocks, ETFs, Futures, Options, OTC, Fixed Income, and Cash Management Tools. And +250 cryptocurrencies available.
OTC
OTC
Stocks
Stocks
Crypto
Crypto
ETFs
ETFs
Cash Management
Cash Management
Options
Options

Prediction Markets: Kalshi FAQs

1. What is a Prediction Market?
2. Are Event Contracts regulated?
3. How can I trade Event Contracts?
4. What are the trading hours and when do Event Contracts expire?
Webull Technologies Brazil Ltda is a technology company that provides financial services through the Webull Platform. Webull Financial LLC, SIPC member, FINRA, offers self-managed securities trading. Regulatory and other fees may apply. Webull is not a bank, rates are subject to change. Overseas investments intermediated by H.H Picchioni. Fees are subject to change. Products and services such as futures and economic events are offered by Webull Futures LLC, an affiliate of Webull Financial LLC and a registered Futures Commission Merchant. Webull Futures LLC is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is a member of the National Futures Association. Account transfer functionality and related futures onboarding services may be made available through a referral arrangement between Webull Financial LLC and Webull Futures LLC. Securities and futures accounts are maintained separately and are subject to different regulatory frameworks and protections. International investments are intermediated by H. H. Picchioni. Trading derivative contracts involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Webull requests that clients carefully consider all associated risks, including, without limitation, the risks described in the Risk Disclosure Statement and other relevant documents available at www.webull.com/policy. Consult with a financial professional or legal advisor before making any investment in derivative contracts. Futures and economic event contract accounts are not protected by the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC).